The Big Movie's 2018 Oscar Predictions

The 90th Academy Awards are tomorrow, March 4th, 2018 and we at The Big Movie thought that we would give picks for who should win (*) and who will win (!).

Best Picture
  • Call Me By Your Name
  • Darkest Hour
  • Dunkirk
  • Get Out
  • Lady Bird
  • Phantom Thread
  • The Post
  • The Shape of Water (*)
  • Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (!)
The Shape of Water should win here as Three Billboards is pretty overrated. It is still a good film, but it isn't the best. However, Three Billboards will take it home because the voters like it more.

  • Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
  • Jordan Peele, Get Out
  • Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
  • Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread
  • Guillermo del Toro, Shape of Water (*) (!)
A lot of the time, the director of the best picture wins. Of course this has not been the case in recent years, but it used to be the norm. The problem lies in the fact that Martin McDonagh isn't even nominated for his direction in Three Billboards. Therefore, del Toro will win. He also deserves to win.

Actor in a Leading Role
  • Timothée Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name
  • Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread (*)
  • Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
  • Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour (!)
  • Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.
As much as many of us would love to see Daniel Day-Lewis win for Phantom Thread, Gary Oldman has had this category on lockdown for quite some time. The only thing that would change this is if all the envelopes containing Oldman's name as the winner were to burn up and the Academy had to revote but forgot who they voted for and chose Day-Lewis because they have seen name before on this list many times.

Actress in a Leading Role
  • Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
  • Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
  • Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
  • Meryl Streep, The Post
This one is a toss up. I am picking McDormand because she has been the more upfront choice for a while. I think that Saoirse Ronan has a really good chance of being the upset because the Academy likes to give the young actors the awards over the veteran.

Actress in a Supporting Role
  • Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
  • Allison Janney, I, Tonya (!)
  • Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird (*)
  • Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread
  • Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water
This category is hard because all of these performances are top notch. There is not one performance here that shouldn't have received a nomination. That being said, Allison Janney is going to win, but I think that Laurie Metcalf gives the better performance.

Actor in a Supporting Role
  • Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
  • Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (*)
  • Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
  • Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
  • Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (!)
Sam Rockwell has this win pretty much locked up although I thought that Harrelson gave the better performance.

Adapted Screenplay
  • James Ivory, Call Me by Your Name (!)
  • Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber, The Disaster Artist
  • Scott Frank, James Mangold, and Michael Green, Logan (!)
  • Aaron Sorkin, Molly’s Game
  • Virgil Williams and Dee Rees, Mudbound
Call Me By Your Name is the one that is going to win. The other screenplays are great and all, but Call Me By Your Name has the push behind that it needs to win. Would love to see Logan sneak in there and win. Stranger things have happened.

Original Screenplay
  • Emily V. Gordon and Kumail Nanjiani, The Big Sick
  • Jordan Peele, Get Out
  • Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
  • Guillermo del Toro and Vanessa Taylor, The Shape of Water (*)
  • Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (!)
Because McDonagh wasn't nominated for his direction in Three Billboards, I do think that he will win for screenplay. Again, I think that del Toro should win because he deserves it more. 

Animated Feature Film
  • The Boss Baby
  • The Breadwinner
  • Coco (!)
  • Ferdinand
  • Loving Vincent (*)
Of course, Coco is going to win. Honestly, I do not know why they have this category when Pixar wins 9 out of 10 times.

Foreign Language Film
  • A Fantastic Woman (Chile) (!)
  • The Insult (Lebanon)
  • Loveless (Russia)
  • Body and Soul (Hungary)
  • The Square (Sweden)
The most talk is about A Fantastic Woman and I think that will be the winner.

Documentary Feature
  • Abacus: Small Enough to Jail
  • Faces Places (*) (!)
  • Icarus
  • Last Men in Aleppo
  • Strong Island
Faces Places will win. The film has been talked up the most out of all of the nominees.

  • Roger A. Deakins, Blade Runner: 2049 (*) (!)
  • Bruno Delbonnel, Darkest Hour
  • Hoyte van Hoytema, Dunkirk
  • Rachel Morrison, Mudbound
  • Dan Laustsen, The Shape of Water
Roger Deakins by far. 

Film Editing
  • Paul Machliss and Jonathan Amos, Baby Driver
  • Lee Smith, Dunkirk
  • Tatiana S. Riegel, I, Tonya
  • Sidney Wolinsky, The Shape of Water
  • Jon Gregory, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Baby Driver had so much put into its editing that I think that it will win.

Production Design
  • Beauty and the Beast (Production Design: Sarah Greenwood; Set Decoration: Katie Spencer)
  • Blade Runner: 2049 (Production Design: Dennis Gassner; Set Decoration: Alessandra Querzola) (*) (!)
  • Darkest Hour (Production Design: Sarah Greenwood; Set Decoration: Katie Spencer)
  • Dunkirk (Production Design: Nathan Crowley; Set Decoration: Gary Fettis)
  • The Shape of Water (Production Design: Paul Denham Austerberry; Set Decoration: Shane Vieau and Jeff Melvin)
Blade Runner has this won. The Shape of Water is the only other threat.

Costume Design
  • Jacqueline Durran, Beauty and the Beast
  • Jacqueline Durran, Darkest Hour
  • Mark Bridges, Phantom Thread (*) (!)
  • Luis Sequeira, The Shape of Water
  • Consolota Boyle, Victoria & Abdul
  • Makeup and Hairstyling
  • Kazuhiro Tsuji, David Malinowski, and Lucy Sibbick, Darkest Hour
  • Daniel Phillips and Lou Sheppard, Victoria & Abdul
  • Arjen Tuiten, Wonder
I think that it would ironic if Phantom Thread did not win this category. Honestly it does deserve it.

Original Score
  • Hans Zimmer, Dunkirk
  • Jonny Greenwood, Phantom Thread
  • Alexandre Desplat, The Shape of Water (*) (!)
  • John Williams, Star Wars: The Last Jedi
  • Carter Burwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
All of these scores would great, but Alexandre Desplat's score was better enough to win.

Original Song
  • “Mighty River,” Mudbound
  • “Mystery of Love,” Call Me by Your Name
  • “Remember Me,” Coco (!)
  • “Stand Up for Something,” Marshall
  • “This Is Me,” The Greatest Showman
None of these songs have wowed me this year, so I am picking Coco as the safe bet.

Sound Editing
  • Julian Slater, Baby Driver (*)
  • Mark Mangini and Theo Green, Blade Runner 2049 (!)
  • Richard King and Alex Gibson, Dunkirk
  • Nathan Robitaille and Nelson Ferreira, The Shape of Water
  • Matthew Wood and Ren Klyce, Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Again, Baby Driver should win this, but I think that most of the techincal awards will go to Blade Runner 2049.

Sound Mixing
  • Julian Slater, Tim Cavagin, and Mary H. Ellis, Baby Driver (*) 
  • Ron Bartlett, Dough Hemphill, and Mac Ruth, Blade Runner 2049 (!)
  • Mark Weingarten, Gregg Landarker, and Gary A. Rizzo, Dunkirk
  • Christian Cooke, Brad Zoern, and Glen Gauthier, The Shape of Water
  • David Parker, Michael Semanick, Ren Klyce, and Stuart Wilson, Star Wars: The Last Jedi
See Sound Editing

Visual Effects
  • Blade Runner 2049 (John Nelson, Gerd Nefzer, Paul Lambert, and Richard R. Hoover) (!)
  • Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (Christopher Townsend, Guy Williams, Jonathan Fawkner, and Dan Sudick)
  • Kong: Skull Island (Stephen Rosenbaum, Jeff White, Scott Benza, and Mike Meinardus)
  • Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Ben Morris, Mike Mulholland, Neal Scanlan, and Chris Corbould)
  • War for the Planet of the Apes (Joe Letteri, Daniel Barrett, Dan Lemmon, and Joel Whist) (*) 
I hope that I am wrong with this because War for the Planet of the Apes deserves it more than any other nominee.

Animated Short Film
  • Dear Basketball (!)
  • Garden Party
  • Lou
  • Negative Space
  • Revolting Rhymes
Live Action Short Film
  • DeKalb Elementary (!)
  • The Eleven O’Clock
  • My Nephew Emmett
  • The Silent Child
  • Watu Wote: All of Us
Documentary Short Subject
  • Edith and Eddie
  • Heaven Is a Traffic Jam on the 405
  • Heroin(e) (!)
  • Knife Skills
  • Traffic Stop

So those are our picks for the 2018 Oscars. We will be live tweeting during the ceremony so join us at both or

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